Client Bear Head Energy
Project Bear Head Green Ammonia Concept Select Study
Sector Energy & Chemicals
Services FEL2a – Concept Select
Location Canada

Objective

To evaluate the techno-economic feasibility of a Green Hydrogen and Ammonia Production, Storage and Loading Facility, capable of producing approximately two million tonnes of green ammonia annually, leveraging renewable energy sources to achieve a sustainable and low-carbon design.

Project Scope

The Bear Head Energy Green Ammonia Study aimed to assess the optimal design and operations for a green ammonia facility located in Nova Scotia, Canada. Key activities included:

  1. Evaluating three development concepts leveraging renewable power sources:
    • Concept 1: Wind power with battery energy storage.
    • Concept 2: Wind power combined with baseload grid power.
    • Concept 3: Wind, solar, and baseload grid power.
  2. Utilising the Decision Quality Framework to frame project decisions, including power source selection, ammonia production capacity and energy storage options.
  3. Conducting systems modelling to optimise technical and economic
    configurations, including sizing of electrolysers, ammonia synthesis units and energy storage.
  4. Assessing risks and opportunities to support concept selection and develop recommendations for the next project phase.

Findings & Recommendations

Findings

  • Concept 2 Feasibility: Wind and baseload grid power offered the best
    balance of operational stability and economic viability. It minimised risks
    compared to other concepts while maintaining a competitive Levelised Cost of Ammonia (LCOA).
  • Energy Storage Challenges: Batteries required for Concept 1 introduced high CAPEX and logistical challenges due to large capacity needs.
  • Solar Marginal Impact: Adding solar power in Concept 3 provided only
    marginal economic benefits while introducing additional complexity and risks.
  • Optimal Electrolyser Sizing: Systems modelling determined 800 MW of
    electrolysers and 1,200 mtpd ammonia plant capacity for Concept 2 and
    Concept 3.
  • Cost Drivers: Fixed CAPEX for jetty and ammonia storage dictated the need for economies of scale, driving higher production capacities.

Recommendations

  1. Advance Concept 2 with a focus on grid power agreements to ensure stable baseload capacity.
  2. Conduct a detailed evaluation of ammonia synthesis technologies and
    electrolysers, including supplier-specific technical and economic parameters.
  3. Optimise ammonia storage and jetty designs to reduce CAPEX.
  4. Confirm solar power tariffs before finalising the inclusion of solar energy in future phases.
  5. Assess hydrogen storage requirements and integrate detailed cavern data into the project model.

io Value Add

io delivered significant value by:

  • Systems Thinking: Applied an integrated systems modelling approach to evaluate interdependencies and optimise technical and economic outcomes.
  • Decision Quality Framework: Ensured robust evaluation of project concepts, identifying the most viable pathways for ammonia production.
  • Vendor Engagement: Validated key assumptions with equipment suppliers to enhance the reliability of the study results.
  • Risk Analysis: Facilitated risk workshops to identify differentiating
    uncertainties, enabling informed concept selection.
  • Strategic Recommendations: Provided actionable insights to guide the next project phase, ensuring alignment with sustainability goals and economic viability.

Through its comprehensive analysis, io positioned Bear Head Energy to progress confidently toward developing a world-class green ammonia facility.